Exploiting Fantasy Recency Bias with Future Projections
In sports, we must always look forward. We’re in a particularly dangerous stage in the baseball season right now: enough games have been played where we start to overweight year-to-date (YTD) production, thinking that what a player has done so …
Sorry, Blake Snell, But You Weren’t Snubbed
First, I should disclose: I like Blake Snell. I think he’s good, man. He checks nearly all of the boxes for a top-of-the-rotation starting pitcher. Good fastball? Above average velocity for a left-hander at 96 MPH: check. Nasty off-speed pitches? Elite curveball and …
How to Predict Your Fantasy Baseball Standings
As we meander roughly halfway through the baseball season, no matter where your fantasy team is at in the standings, there is always more work to be done. Keeping with the theme of overcoming life’s malaise, sometimes you just need to sit …
Five Under-Performing Hitters to Buy Now
For years, my strength in fantasy baseball has been cobbling together quality pitching staffs and identifying good pitchers before the rest of the market. On the other side of the coin, my teams have been consistently lacking on offense! This …
Expected Strikeouts: Who Is Under- and Over-Performing?
I was crammed into a middle seat on a recent flight to Seattle and I decided to spend the $10 for WiFi so I could pass the time by reading some baseball content about plate discipline metrics for pitchers. It …
It Moved! Early Pitching Velocity Surgers
Pitching in baseball is a complex undertaking—a subject comprised of part art, part science. There are many interconnected variables—pitching mix, velocity, sequencing, deception, movement, control, command, game plan, framing, umpiring—many of which are difficult to quantify, making it nearly impossible …
Prognosis Negative: Early Pitching Velocity Decliners
The baseball season is just three weeks in and there are still a lot of games left to play. That’s a lot of statistics yet to accumulate for your fantasy baseball team. Around this time of the year, there are …
Early Season Evaluation: What Player Statistics to Watch
Early in the season, baseball fans – especially fantasy baseball fans – are prone to react very quickly to any new player information. Hell, a few years back I remember clamoring to blow my FAAB wad on Kansas City’s Emilio Bonifacio following a quick …